After a month of rain and gloomy weather, the British experienced a heat wave to coincide with the start of Euro 2020 with plenty of barbecues and beer gardens.
Calmer weather is expected to remain in place through Sunday with occasional showers expected.
However, next week, temperatures are expected to deteriorate with rains expected to be abundant over the next few weeks.
But the British summer is not quite over yet, with meteorologists expecting several heat waves in July.
According to the BBC’s long-term forecast, from mid-July there will be “dry, stable and hot spells which will last for a few days”.
And from June 28, “transient highs” are expected to drift to the UK from Northern Europe.
Netweather predicts highs of 36C in France on Friday June 25 and warm air is expected to move towards the British Isles, bringing boiling temperatures across the UK.
Here’s what the BBC’s long-term forecast is predicting for next month:
From Monday June 21 to Sunday June 27
“The unstable conditions are very likely to continue until the third week of June.
“The nearby high pressure area that brought the recent drier and warmer weather will move westward and anchor over the Atlantic Ocean. In its place, a large-scale low pressure trough will develop. over northern Europe.
“This will produce a rather unstable pattern. It will cause windy and humid days interspersed with drier periods which will have occasional sunshine but also the possibility of scattered showers.
“A few days of heavy showers or potential thunderstorms are likely at the start of the week, mainly for the eastern half of the country.
“Temperatures will be close to or a little lower than average for the end of June.
“Later in the week, there are signs that a high pressure ridge will attempt to extend further east into western Europe.
“This could cause temperatures to rise a little above normal, although more likely in areas to the south and east where drier and potentially sunnier conditions could develop.
“The high pressure is more likely to be just south of the UK than above, so we will still be vulnerable to frontal systems from the west or north west.
“This will bring rain and increased winds mainly to the northern and western regions with near normal temperatures.”
From Monday June 28 to Sunday July 11
“As we head into the first half of July, weather conditions are expected to remain broadly similar to those in late June.
“High pressures are going to form in the Atlantic with low pressure troughs somewhere in northern Europe.
“There are strong signals for high pressure to be more of a feature near or above later in July.
“But it will probably be on a temporary basis rather than seeing several weeks of dry, sunny weather.
“This is thanks to the warm waters of the Atlantic, which will tend to push high pressures away from us with persistent low pressures near Scandinavia.
“Transient peaks should sometimes drift into northern Europe and bring dry, stable and hot spells that last for a few days.
“The alternate pattern for the first half of July is for high pressure to persist above us, leading to several weeks of warmer than normal, drier and largely sunny weather.
“This model is favored by computer models, but they probably overestimate the impact of tropical ocean signals, which we expect to be drowned out by much stronger signals from the North Pacific and Atlantic Oceans.”
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Source: www.times-series.co.uk
This notice was published: 2021-06-20 10:00:00
