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Elections 2021: Labor at a touching distance from majority in Welsh Parliament, new poll finds | Political news

The work is within reach of an overall majority in the Welsh Parliament, a new poll for Sky News reveals.

Labor and Tories have both made gains since the last Welsh Parliament election, at the expense of UKIP, Nationalists and Liberal Democrats, according to a new Opinium poll.

The last Welsh Parliament elections took place before the Brexit referendum, meaning it is the first time the Welsh Parliament has been dissolved since Britain left the EU.

Welsh voters get two votes, the first for their constituency and the second for candidates on a regional list.

A Welsh flag, second from left, placed by protesters supporting Britain's retention in the European Union is blown in the wind alongside a Union flag, on the left, and two European flags near of the Houses of Parliament in London, Tuesday March 5, 2019 The National Assembly for Wales and the Scottish Parliament are both due to vote on motions on Tuesday declaring their opposition to British Prime Minister Theresa May's Brexit deal and declaring their opposition to a no-deal Brexit.  (AP Photo / Matt Dunham)
Britain’s exit from the European Union is one of the reasons the UKIP vote dropped significantly in Wales

In the constituency vote, Labor gets 40%, up five points since 2016, Tories are at 30%, up nine points, Plaid Cymru is at 19%, down 2% and Lib Dems are at 4%, down four points.

The ‘other’ category, which included UKIP in 2016, is at 7%, down eight points from 2016. This means Labor is 10 points ahead in the constituency race for the Welsh Parliament.

In the regional vote, Labor is on 38%, up six points, the Conservatives are on 27%, up seven points and Plaid Cymru is on 19%, down two points.

The Lib Dems are at 4%, down three and the Greens at 5%, up two. Ukip is on 2%, down 11 points while “others” are on 5%, up one point. This gives Labor an 11 point lead in the Welsh Parliament regional vote.

Welsh Parliament poll chart
A question also asked who would make the best Welsh prime minister – Labor’s Mark Drakeford and the current incumbent led the way
Wales'  Prime Minister Mark Drakeford
Mark Drakeford

If you put those seats in a seat calculator, it suggests Labor would win 29 of the 60 seats, two less than an overall majority.

Conservatives are on 19, up to 8 seats, Plaid on 10, down …

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This notice was published: 2021-04-20 10:24:00