Elections 2021: Labor at a touching distance from majority in Welsh Parliament, new poll finds | Political news

The work is within reach of an overall majority in the Welsh Parliament, a new poll for Sky News reveals.

Labor and Tories have both made gains since the last Welsh Parliament election, at the expense of UKIP, Nationalists and Liberal Democrats, according to a new Opinium poll.

The last Welsh Parliament elections took place before the Brexit referendum, meaning it is the first time the Welsh Parliament has been dissolved since Britain left the EU.

Welsh voters get two votes, the first for their constituency and the second for candidates on a regional list.

In the constituency vote, Labor gets 40%, up five points since 2016, Tories are at 30%, up nine points, Plaid Cymru is at 19%, down 2% and Lib Dems are at 4%, down four points.

The ‘other’ category, which included UKIP in 2016, is at 7%, down eight points from 2016. This means Labor is 10 points ahead in the constituency race for the Welsh Parliament.

In the regional vote, Labor is on 38%, up six points, the Conservatives are on 27%, up seven points and Plaid Cymru is on 19%, down two points.

The Lib Dems are at 4%, down three and the Greens at 5%, up two. Ukip is on 2%, down 11 points while “others” are on 5%, up one point. This gives Labor an 11 point lead in the Welsh Parliament regional vote.

If you put those seats in a seat calculator, it suggests Labor would win 29 of the 60 seats, two less than an overall majority.

Conservatives are on 19, up to 8 seats, Plaid on 10, down …